Who will control Congress after the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections?
- Democrats Sweep: Yes 66% · No 35%
- R Senate, D House: Yes 27% · No 74%
- Republicans Sweep: Yes 8% · No 93%
- D Senate, R House: Yes 1% · No 99%
- Other: Yes 1% · No 99%
Volume: $6
Rules
Market Dates: - Market Period: From the publication date until November 3, 2026 at 1:00 AM UTC. - Market Close: November 3, 2026 at 1:00 AM UTC. - Resolution Time: The outcome will be determined after Market Close, once the 2026 US Midterm Elections results are officially confirmed by the market resolution sources. Resolution Criteria: - This market will resolve according to the result of the 2026 United States midterm elections. - Resolves to "Yes" for the outcome that matches the party (or parties) that control the House of Representatives and the Senate following the election. - Resolves to "No" for all other outcomes. - A party will be considered to have "control" of the House of Representatives if it wins a majority of voting seats. - A party will be considered to have "control" of the Senate if it holds more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice President. - A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican Parties will be considered a member of whichever party they most recently expressed intent to caucus with at the time the elections are conclusively called. - If control of the House is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to th