Will Democrats sweep the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections?
- Yes 66% · No 34%
Volume: $2,998
Rules
Market Dates: - Market Period: From the publication date until November 3, 2026 at 1:00 AM UTC. - Market Close: November 3, 2026 at 1:00 AM UTC. - Resolution Time: The outcome will be determined after Market Close, once the 2026 US Midterm Elections results are officially confirmed by the market resolution sources. Resolution Criteria: - Resolves to “Yes” if the Democratic Party controls both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate following the 2026 United States midterm elections. - Resolves to “No” if the Democratic Party does not control both chambers after the elections. Resolution Criteria: - For the purposes of this market, a “Democratic sweep” means the Democratic Party controls both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate following the election. - A party will be considered to have control of the House of Representatives if it wins a majority of voting seats. - A party will be considered to have control of the Senate if it holds: - More than half of the voting Senate seats, or - Half of the seats plus the Vice President, who can cast tie-breaking votes. - A candidate’s party affiliation will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation at the time the election results are conclusively called by the resolution sources. - Candidates without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican Parties will be considered aligned with the party they most recently expressed intent to caucus with at the