Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- Harry Kane: Yes 47% · No 53%
- Lamine Yamal: Yes 44% · No 56%
- Kylian Mbappé: Yes 25% · No 75%
- Lionel Messi: Yes 3% · No 97%
- Erling Haaland: Yes 1% · No 99%
- Jude Bellingham: Yes 1% · No 99%
- Ousmane Dembélé: Yes 1% · No 99%
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Yes 1% · No 99%
Volume: $79,657
Rules
This market predicts the winner of the 2026 Ballon d'Or, awarded annually by France Football to the best men's footballer of the year. Market Dates: - Market Period: From the publication date through December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - Market Close: December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - Resolution Time: Upon official announcement of the 2026 Ballon d'Or winner, expected in late October 2026. Resolution Criteria: - Resolves to "Yes" for the player who is officially declared the winner of the 2026 Ballon d'Or, provided he is listed as an outcome in this market. - Resolves to "No" for all other players. Resolution Details: - This market will only be resolved through official results posted by France Football. - In case the resolution source fails to upload, a consensus of credible reporting can be used to resolve. - If no 2026 Ballon d'Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No" for all outcomes. Cancellation Conditions: - The resolution source is compromised or unavailable for prolonged periods. - The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is cancelled or postponed indefinitely. - Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively. If the market is cancelled, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.