Which movie will have the biggest opening weekend of 2026?
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day: Yes 62% · No 39%
- Avengers: Doomsday: Yes 40% · No 61%
Volume: $5,120
Rules
Market Dates: - Market Period: From the publication date through December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - Market Close: December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - Resolution Time: Once final 3-day opening weekend figures are published for all relevant 2026 releases, expected shortly after January 1, 2027. Resolution Criteria: - Resolves to "Yes" for the film that grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie released in 2026, provided it is listed as an outcome in this market. - Resolves to "No" for all other listed films. - Resolution is based specifically on the 3-day opening weekend figure (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether a film has a 4- or 5-day opening weekend. - The figures used are those reported by The Numbers under "Weekend Box Office Performance," regardless of whether "domestic" refers to the US only, or to the US and Canada combined. - If another film's opening weekend surpasses that of a listed film after figures for both are finalized, the affected outcome may immediately resolve to "No". - In the event of an exact tie, the film whose title comes first alphabetically will be declared the winner. Resolution Details: - This market will be resolved using the "Weekend Box Office Performance" figures published on each film's page at https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026, once those figures are final (i.e., not studio estimates). - If no final data is available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source