Which bubble bursts first?
- AI 23% · Crypto 77%
Volume: $10,642
Rules
Market Details: - Market Period: From the market publication until its resolution. - Market Close: This market will only be closed once a resolution is achieved. - Resolution Deadline: The resolution will be determined as soon as an outcome is reached. Resolution Criteria: - The market aims to track who experiences an industry downturn first: AI or Crypto. - The Market resolves to “AI” if at least 3 of the following events have occurred within 90 days of each other, first: - NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is 50% below its ATH — from $212.19 to $106.09 - iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) is 40% below its ATH — from $363.8 to $218.28 - Oracle Corporation (ORCL) is 60% below its ATH — from $345.72 to $138.29 - H100 rental price falls to $1.00 or lower for five consecutive days. - OpenAI, Inc. declares bankruptcy. - Anthropic PBC declares bankruptcy. - The Market resolves to “Crypto” if at least 3 of the following events have occurred within 90 days of each other, first: - BTC falls 60% below its ATH — from $126,199.63 to $50,479.85 - ETH falls 70% below its ATH — from $4,956.78 to $1,487.00 - SOL falls 70% below its ATH — from $295.83 to $88.75 - Market Target hit on 05.02.2026 ✅ - BNB falls 70% below its ATH — from $1,375.11 to $412.53 - Microstrategy sells any amount of Bitcoin. - Market Target hit on 31.05.2026 ✅ - Microstrategy publically declares bankruptcy. - USDT depegs to 0.9000 or lower. Resolution Sources: - To confirm stock market targets, the Nasdaq Historical Quotes
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